HousingSep 22, 2019
GoogleEx Amazon

Good time to buy?

Folks of the South Bay, Do you think it's a good time to buy a house now? My rental lease ends in December and looks like the prices are coming down. With a possibility of a recession and further downturn, do you think it's wise to buy now or wait a few more months for the prices to go lower? Looking for single family home in San Jose, South side mostly, Campbell, Los Gatos, Almaden etc in the 1.3M - 1.7M range. TC:460k, yoe: 8 amzn + 1 GOOG Can make down payment anywhere between 460k and 1.2M depending on how much stock I sell.

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Splunk tgrmqw Sep 22, 2019

What is your tc? How much down payment you plan to make?

Google Ex Amazon OP Sep 22, 2019

Thanks for the question. Updated post. Quite a relevant follow up as well. Apart from some .3M liquid cash, Mostly my portfolio is in AMZN and GOOG. I am also wondering how much of each I should sell for the down payment. Would like to keep monthly payments low (4.5k or so) so might have to sell stock to put more down. Happy to sell GOOG, less happy to sell AMZN, but housing stability is also important for the family.

Splunk tgrmqw Sep 22, 2019

Thanks for sharing. So when you sell shares would they be considered as income? Would you have to pay huge taxes since that will considerably increase your income?

eBay pepperjack Sep 22, 2019

Just so you know - recession may or may not hit home prices but will definitely hit the price of the stock that you’ve piled up. Now if you understand this message, you are smart enough to make your own decision.

Google Ex Amazon OP Sep 22, 2019

I do understand. Thank you, that is a helpful insight.

Amazon OII Sep 22, 2019

His stock will also recover faster than any dip of housing market assuming he’s diversifying.

Intel FooP88 Sep 22, 2019

Only if you have kids. No other good reason to buy a house.

Google Ex Amazon OP Sep 22, 2019

2 kids, dog and cat.

Intel FooP88 Sep 22, 2019

Then do it. Timing the market is a fool’s errand in real estate just like in the stock market. The real value is in providing a safe and stable home for your family where you can build memories. Just make sure to go big enough where you don’t have to move again in 3-4 years.

CYNGN OvOn02 Sep 22, 2019

No, the fed pumped billions onto the repo market this week without offering explanation. We are very close to serious recession. Buy now you're buying high. If you get laid off then you'll have to sell low.

Shutterfly pramod111 Sep 22, 2019

Offtop question. Wonder where your kids go to school? Most of the school districts in south bay are pretty bad?

Google Ex Amazon OP Sep 22, 2019

Not really. There are some very good districts with 8+ great school ratings. Most schools in Campbell, Los Gatos and Almaden are great.

Apple hydjo Sep 22, 2019

Why not try Cupertino with your budget..

Google vkg38472 Sep 22, 2019

4 bed under 1.7m doesnt look possible

Google SdrPikachu Sep 22, 2019

Zillow projection is -13% next year. But it could also go back up, or stay flat. Who the duck knows.

Microsoft tcforlife Sep 22, 2019

Holy moly!!! For across the US or local to Bay

Uber hfffddgh Sep 22, 2019

Why south san jose? I think you can stretch a bit and buy in Sunnyvale, Cupertino. In the long run 200k (1.7 vs 1.9) will not make that much difference.

Google Ex Amazon OP Sep 22, 2019

I don't like those areas. Too urban for us. We like the fact that deer visit our front yard and I can hear the coyotes at night.

Apple kirkl Sep 22, 2019

Rich fuck

Splunk tgrmqw Sep 22, 2019

How long have you been working?

Google Ex Amazon OP Sep 22, 2019

9 yrs