UPDATE: Guys I would like to apologize for the misinformation I provided yesterday. It was not intentional, the data (link provided below) is there referred to as H1b program data and description field for Case Status is given as "Status associated with the last significant event or decision. Valid values include “Certified,” “Certified-Withdrawn,” Denied,” and “Withdrawn”." Those statuses and cases I checked also synced with H1b websites such as :
So I presumed that the dataset case statuses are for H1b. Based on the numerous feedback I received in the comments, I am convinced that this is only for the LCA stage of H1b process, not the final H1b. I contacted USCIS for the dataset, if they provide one, I will create another detailed post. (I have been researching since yesterday to find the dataset). So far I only found statistics by top 30 employers in the US which I will post in another thread.
I have been reading lots of posts recommending not to join on receipt. BAL lawyers (for Google) are giving me a 6-10 month timeline for approval. They don't expect another USCIS announcement for PP soon (by soon I mean ~2-3 weeks, this is the difference between 1st announcement on Jan 25 and 2nd on Feb 15) for apps filed after Dec 21st. They speculate that USCIS to wait until after cap season to fully reinstall PP but again no guarantee. So the approval process is really too long.
So, I downloaded the public data from
I pulled some helpful statistics for those who are considering to join on the receipt. [Please don't be confused by USCIS's quarterly report (attached, that 27% denied category includes withdrawals), actual denial rate is much much lower]
For an H1b visa transfer (not new or amendment), for a full-time role, for an employer headquartered in the US (so excluding some of these Indian Consulting Firms), the odds of denial and sample size in 2018:
- Total: 1.17% - 110,863
- Facebook: 0.67% - 1,039
- Apple: 0.72% - 975
- Amazon: 0.47%- 1,905
- Netflix: 0% - 141
- Google: 0.77% - 1,431
- Microsoft: 0% - 1,287
- Airbnb: 0% - 109
- Uber: 0% - 353
- Lyft: 0.58% - 171
- Oracle: 0.47% - 632
- LinkedIn: 0.34% - 298
- Square: 0% - 46
- Stripe: 0% - 21
- Vmware: 0% - 136
- Doordash: 0% - 29
- Salesforce: 1.42% - 353
- Postmates: 0% - 13
- Job Title "software engineer": 0.85% - 14,999
- Job Title "engineering manager": 2.23% - 224
- Job Title "analyst": 1.03% - 14,845
- Job Title "product manager": 1.83% - 984
- Job Title "program manager": 1.20% - 832
- Job Title "consultant": 0.75% - 9,911
- Job Title "developer": 0.92% - 17,188
- Job Title "data scientist": 0.90% - 781
Note: Job title rates are not based on exact match, if the title contains those strings, it 'll be counted (e.g software engineer, logistics will be counted).
I hope this info helps for those who are still looking for a way out :)
PM me for the code for those who want to do their own ad-hoc analysis.
If you were able to correlate LCA filings for a year vs H1B approvals from USCIS, can you please share the source for H1B data? Thanks!