How realistic is Elon's prediction to put 1M robo-taxis on the road in 2020 as an autonomous ride hailing network? ๐Ÿค–๐Ÿš•

New / Engstarl0rd
Apr 24 12 Comments

I find it super far-fetched as I don't think he is even thinking about how the rest of the system would integrate and work.

I mean it took Uber around 5-6 years to become as reliable as it is now and I am not talking about the frontend and the app challenge but I am talking about the backend, the scalability and the reliability aspect.

Also, where is the regulation aspect with that? I always thought like the fully autonomous self driving tech is at least 5 years away and regulation is more or less 10 years away but it seems like that the gap is closing quiet fast.

How does it affects Uber, Lyft, Waymo etc?

Video: https://youtu.be/YiWbdZ8ItRs

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TOP 12 Comments
  • Google ovBk62
    Taxi part isn't the unrealistic one. The unrealistic is Tesla having that good an AV system by 2020.
    Apr 244
    • Uber fhdye
      Especially since Tesla is dead last in AV dev
      Apr 24
    • General Motors QEmN10
      DOT approval and how regulations pan out could affect this dramatically. I also think theyโ€™re between mildly and moderately over confident in the no lidar approach this early on in the game.
      Apr 24
    • Amazon jtGV66
      Keep telling yourself that Uber ๐Ÿ˜‚
      Apr 24
    • Uber fhdye
      Uber is second last ๐Ÿ˜‚
      Apr 24
  • Intuit tgfi
    I donโ€™t see them manufacturing that many Teslaโ€™s with their current setup. So no way.
    Apr 240
  • Facebook zuzuzuzu
    Elon smoking some good shit to come up with this bullshit
    Apr 241
  • Pinterest JEJM77
    Are there even one million Teslas in the world? Even if Tesla did have the magical tech they claim they have, they arenโ€™t making an additional one million cars this year
    Apr 241
    • New / Engstarl0rd
      OP
      I think he meant a total of 1M Teslas since he started manufacturing.
      Apr 24
  • ServiceNow zboot_hi
    elon must have gotten into grimesโ€™s meth stash
    Apr 240
  • New / IT
    EXG

    NewIT

    PRE
    StartupCMO
    BIO
    I failed to launch an independent media company in Portland (for most of my early adulthood,) and now Iโ€™m back home, working in IT Twin Peaks.
    EXGmore
    Considering that the United Statesโ€™ system of transcontinental interstates basically hasnโ€™t changed in configuration since they were built in the 1940s...

    Iโ€™d just like to raise my hand once more to say *please fix the roads we already have because theyโ€™re becoming unusable.*
    Apr 290

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