What are your predictions for streaming in the next few years?

HBO / Eng middle-out
Jul 6 29 Comments

It’s an exciting time right now in the streaming industry.

Disney is launching their hotly anticipated streaming service later this year.

Warner will quickly launch their own big service shortly after that.

NBCUniversal will then launch their own service end of next year.

Netflix is rapidly bleeding licensed content, evolving to a company that can (hopefully) survive on just their original content.

Hulu is still trying to figure out where they belong, now that the fellowship has disbanded and they are fully owned by Disney.

Amazon is slowly growing bigger by the day.

And then big players like Apple and Facebook and YouTube are entering into the fray.

How do you see things shaking out?

🍿

comments

Want to comment? LOG IN or SIGN UP
TOP 29 Comments
  • Pronto Insurance / Data
    csusgrad19

    Pronto Insurance Data

    PRE
    eClinicalWorks
    BIO
    Actively looking for full-time opportunities in Analytics, preferably in the Bay Area. Master's graduate in Business Analytics from UTD
    csusgrad19more
    IMO Disney, Netflix and Amazon Prime Video will be the real OGs in the coming future.

    Disney and Amazon have an incredibly huge warchest and can offer quality content at competitive price points.

    Netflix Originals are the jam. Some of them have cult followings. I’m not an expert in marketing, but I foresee a drop in monthly subscription costs as soon as Disney launches its own service. As long as NFLX keeps producing/creating good content and maintains its current licensing standards, it will stay in the game.

    Apple is heavily restricted in itself. Youtube originals cater to a very specific audience, and I personally don’t know anyone who actually has youtube red.

    Warner and NBCU might not be able to attract an audience on their own, and might tie up with Amazon Prime as a bundled streaming service, like Showtime and HBO.

    Best guess :)
    Jul 6 5
    • Facebook qEKk54
      youtube red for $13 is 10000x better than what spotify can provide
      Jul 6
    • Facebook qEKk54
      sorry i had to mention that. i love my youtube red >:(
      Jul 6
    • Google ovBk62
      YouTube red is amazing! No ads, can play with app closed, can offline videos for travel and what not
      Jul 6
    • Microsoft / Eng Ex-
      YouTube Red + Google Play Music really makes me feel bad for the people stuck on Spotify/Apple Music cuz their entire collection's there.
      Jul 6
    • Pivotal / Ops AllDaSmoke
      Youtube Vanced is free tho...
      Jul 9
  • Amazon broke&dumb
    As a consumer, I was happy when there was just one cable, and later just one streaming service.
    Now a dozen of them exist and need a subscription, it's getting unaffordable.
    Jul 6 0
  • Facebook ⭕w⭕
    Dgaf about any of them, all I need is KissAnime.
    Jul 6 0
  • Netflix / Eng LoveDeathR
    The transition from linear TV to streaming is a secular trend. And no traditional studios can make a smooth transition, it's hard to allocate your best resources to go for the lower margin business, as illustrated in the book the Innovator's dilemma, too much internal conflicts. Amazon, Apple are using streaming as a loss leader, not enough executive attention and it's hard to get big. I am seeing Netflix coming out as the winner take most like Google on search. Streaming is as much about tech as it's about content. studios just don't know it yet.
    Jul 7 2
    • HBO / Eng middle-out
      OP
      Can you expand on why you feel that streaming is as much about tech as it is content? Do you mean tech like recommendation engines?
      Jul 7
    • Netflix / Eng LoveDeathR
      Recommendation engine is important. Netflix can increase the viewing several times given HBO's catalogue thanks to recommendation. But it's way beyond recommendation. For example, Netflix is able to manage all productions using the same set of services in the cloud, data flow automatically from one system to another. Whereas studios are a dozen silos that don't even talk to one another. Therefore studios can never match Netflix on the level of efficiency, speed, data accuracy and sophistication. They will be lucky to achieve Bing status compared to Google. For studios, it's relatively easy to build a new streaming service, much harder to rebuild themselves. 90% of personnel will be gone if they are built like Netflix. It will not happen.
      Jul 7
  • HBO / Eng middle-out
    OP
    For me personally, all the shows I care about (Rick and Morty, Big Bang Theory, Silicon Valley and all the HBO shows) are all Warner shows, so my guess the Warner service is the main one I will likely subscribe to.

    None of the Netflix originals speak to me with the exception of Stranger Things. After I’ve binged season 3 I will cancel.

    Disney is cheap enough that I will probably just do it.

    I will wait and see how NBCUniversal shakes out. That has some potential.
    Jul 6 0
  • HBO
    Grunt_

    HBO

    BIO
    Username is an insult for Jonah Ryan (Veep!) that didn’t make it to air.
    Grunt_more
    Someone will eventually have to re-invent cable (or some kind of aggregator) for streaming.

    I suspect everyone already knows this, and will compete hard for market share in the next 24-36 months, and leverage that + IP licenses to negotiate with whatever distributor comes out on top (Netflix, Apple, or Amazon). HBO Max, Disney+, and cable-run apps will stop existing at some point. But that could be 2-5 years from now.

    They are deflating profits for everyone. No one is showing their hand yet but it’s in everyone’s best interests for someone to figure out how to go back to the days of a few media monopolies that don’t really compete as much as they let on.

    Production Costs are rising so eventually the strategy will have to go back to maximizing revenue of content libraries, and jockeying against every other studio isn’t helping.
    Jul 9 5
    • Netflix / Eng LoveDeathR
      Netflix is already profitable in streaming, whereas everybody else is not, including Amazon and Hulu that have been in streaming as long as Netflix. Free time is limited, if Netflix gives you 2 hours per day entertainment, you may not need another service at all. Amazon prime being free with shipping only makes things worse. People actually have to find time after the two to make the 3rd streaming worth it. Going back to the profitability. If you don't know the playbook, who's gonna stop Netflix increasing price once these competitions go under? Netflix domination is not the end of world. Netflix domination with its own originals will be.
      Jul 9
    • HBO / Eng middle-out
      OP
      HBO is extremely profitable in streaming.

      I also have a hard time seeing Netflix survive on just their original content. According to industry research the vast majority of Netflix’s traffic isn’t originals but licensed content.
      Jul 10
    • Netflix / Eng LoveDeathR
      HBO has trouble converting pay TV users to streaming. HBO now has big churn problem. Many signed up for GoT and left after the season is over. I was one of them and I was not alone. Pay TV will be a shell of itself in next 5 to 10 years and HBO will be in big trouble if users do not migrate and stay on HBO now/max. You can't fight secular trend, that's what disruption means.

      For Netflix, while the majority of viewing is still on licensed content, it won't be very soon. We lost Startz and Fox in the last few years and it didn't make a difference. People come to Netflix to watch originals. And time is limited.
      Jul 10
    • HBO
      Grunt_

      HBO

      BIO
      Username is an insult for Jonah Ryan (Veep!) that didn’t make it to air.
      Grunt_more
      Public perception != reality for HBO.
      It’s not just a Game of Thrones app anymore ;)
      Jul 14
    • Netflix / Eng Breakinbad
      The next popular show has about 1/10 of the rating of GoT. Numbers don't lie.
      Jul 14
  • Quantcast ponburik
    It’s NOT exciting. To watch what I watched 5 years ago with 1 subscription I’ll have to pay multiple.
    I hope Bernie and Warren go after the “streaming industry” who’s only goal is to raise prices for the average consumer :)
    Jul 6 0
  • Spotify smrtrchild
    Content increasingly fragmented across multiple services + a global recession = a comeback for piracy
    Jul 8 2
    • Hulu xtEfg
      is recession coming?
      Jul 8
    • Spotify smrtrchild
      The answer is always yes the question is always when
      Jul 8
  • Warner Bros. / Creative D3stro
    I think WarnerMedia has a chance because of all the customer data ATT has from their cell phones and DirecTV users, plus the fact that ATT owns a lot of the broadband pipes that Netflix and Disney use to reach people. Secretly throttling bandwidth of their competition could be a reality.

    Also, I think whoever gets the streaming rights to the major sports leagues will have a big advantage when current contracts run out.
    Jul 7 0
  • Wizards of the Coast aaaabaa
    Disney will probably succeed but the other new ones will be huge failures. People have convinced themselves that streaming is a money tree when almost nobody is running a profit on it.

    You either run it as a loss leader for some other concern (YouTube with data or Amazon with prime) or you have content that is so irresistible that a lot of people who don't consume that much will pay to keep their options open (hbo, Netflix, maybe Disney).

    I'm worried about hbo too, saw a speech some exec gave about wanting people to consume more hours of video per week to be more like Netflix. Clearly doesn't understand streaming.
    Jul 6 0
  • Tegna ye_wenjie
    Over the next five years companies like NBC, ABC, and Viacom will start pulling their shoes from Netflix and Hulu to launch their own apps. This will not go well for them. People don’t know which networks make which shows and have little loyalty to the networks. I don’t know how CBS’s service is going but even with the new Star Trek show I don’t see how they will be able to survive. People do not want to pay for seven or eight different streaming services.

    We are in a post-scarcity world when it comes to TV and movies. New services will launch but most will fold within five years. Apple’s service will trudge on but in five years the main services in the U.S. will be Disney, Netflix, and Amazon Prime.

    Not sure about outside the U.S. though.
    Jul 6 1
    • Disney / Eng
      mav.rick

      Disney Eng

      PRE
      The Walt Disney Company
      BIO
      Software Engineer
      mav.rickmore
      ABC is Disney
      Jul 9
  • Pandora / Eng kitkat112
    Torrents ftw
    Jul 8 0
  • Oath OPnd70
    Becoming too many options. No one is going to subscribe to 7+ services. In 5 years there will be only 3-4 major players. In 10 years I see broadcast dying and basic cable more or less gone. I think internet services that can be offered with blazing speeds will be key.
    Jul 7 0
  • Snapchat Mavericks
    What about Quibi? Coming out in 2020
    Jul 6 0

Salary
Comparison

    Real time salary information from verified employees