Growing Cases in India/US and even in summers, where are we heading?

Coupang
LeadVP

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LeadVP
Jun 8, 2020 46 Comments

Well US has so far been able to flatten the curve but cases seem to be constant they are not decreasing. On the contrary almost 22 states have increasing trend, 18 have decreasing trend and remainder are constant daily new cases. With all these states opening up and protests going on has the Corona fear evaporated? Why are people careless, all the good work we have done in the past few months will be lost we are reckless. Saw this debate https://www.teamblind.com/post/ENOnNDb0?cid=9043930 and looks like India is in really bad shape now. While the whole world lifted the lockdown when the cases were going down in India its opposite. Now we have Brazil, Russia at the top with US and India is #6 adding to the total upward trend of new cases. Even then many people are dying and their is no news of any treatment or a vaccine. Continue to maintain social distancing and WFH as much as possible. This is surely test of our times. #covid-19 #coronavirus #India #us

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  • India is just playing the timelines, they know that someone but not them will find a solution in next six months 😁, so they just deferred their rates
    Jun 8, 2020 0
  • Case numbers don't matter, deaths do. Virus peaked a while ago and is petering out in the US, but spreading like fire in Brazil. Seasonality isn't going to be a thing in India due to its lattitude.
    Jun 8, 2020 12
    • Amazon
      dtom

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      dtom
      Death rate is also complicated. New York systematically undercounted Coronavirus deaths because it included only people who died in a hospital. Also a lot of cases recorded as stroke and heart disease were the result of Coronavirus causing inflammation of the heart, but we're recorded as stroke or heart disease.

      On the flip side you might get someone who actually dies from kidney failure being counted as covid19 even though the virus was at best incidental.

      So you can have errors in either direction.

      But yes, deaths are better than cases.
      Jun 9, 2020
    • Uber
      f00-bar

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      f00-bar
      dtom but not Texas, India or anything else discussed here. Sweden did a bad job for sure, no disagreement.
      Jun 9, 2020
  • Amazon
    m1a

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    m1a
    Fall will be fucking brutal
    Jun 8, 2020 6
    • I said under 45, you bracketed out 18, source data is similar. Either way, lets assume your high number, how long are you going to live like your dead to avoid death rationally? Like 1.5 months. We're already well past that, so if you're hiding in your closet and under 45, you have math problems.
      Jun 9, 2020
    • Amazon
      dtom

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      dtom
      I don't think anyone here is under 18. I am simply correcting you misinformation. The risks are much higher than you pretended.

      Moreover there are a lot of 18-45 year olds and if covid19 ends up hospitalizing a couple percent of them, which is what it does, it's going to deprive other people of healthcare they need. Even if the hospitalized 30 year old recovers that stopped somebody else from getting a surgery or whatever they need.

      So yeah, we need to do something. Does it need to be a lockdown? Now that we have widely available testing and access to masks and sanitizer, probably not.

      I look at places like S. Korea and see they opened up their economy by finding a reasonable middle ground of everyone wearing a mask and such, but their businesses are open and so on.

      That seems right.

      People like you seem intent on fucking it up, though.
      Jun 10, 2020
  • New
    Fangoneday

    New

    Fangoneday
    You thought the virus would go away in summers? Lol.max();
    Jun 8, 2020 7
  • How well the virus will spread is a function of 1. How transmissible the virus is 2. How receptive the hosts are.

    India is a densely populated country. It is virtually impossible for anyone that’s not very wealthy to socially distance effectively. So you have a large vulnerable population. There is no evidence that the virus will behave any differently in India than it has elsewhere. Therefore, the only logical conclusion is that people will get infected until herd immunity is reached.

    In less dense countries where social distancing is possible for the majority of the population, the goal will be to protect oneself until mass vaccination is possible.
    Jun 8, 2020 3
    • It’s likely a combination of underreported deaths and a systemic advantage India has vs the west in that India’s population is much younger on average. That said, India is running out of hospital beds so I’d expect the mortality for critical cases to be much higher in India than the west.
      Jun 8, 2020
    • Airbnb
      aiirbnb

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      aiirbnb
      They say covid is a blood vessel disease and can take life in multiple ways. India gives a large assortment of vaccines to kids including TB vaccine which maybe able to explain low death rate. But it all depends on how we calculate death rate. Since cases in India are rising, more deaths will come. Right now we are dividing people infected like a month ago and died now by current cases. Thats not right. Death rate will be accurate when graph is stable.
      Jun 8, 2020