Another stock market bubble post

Amazon / Consultant
TsaB33

Go to company page Amazon Consultant

TsaB33
Feb 6, 2021 31 Comments

Everybody’s a finance genius these days. There are multiple theories regarding whether the stock market will continue to boom or is it gonna burst. There’s definitely a euphoria around that fed will keep printing money and the stocks will only go up.

I’m seeing people who have no idea about stocks asking friends how they can get started. Reminds me of 2017 when everybody and their moms were investing in crypto just before it crashed.

Although I have emergency funds aside, I don’t want to see my portfolio go down 50%. I invested in stocks for long term but wasn’t expecting to see 100+% gains in a matter of months. Just wanted to know what the seasoned investors on blind are doing. Are you keeping 10-20% in cash? Or are you trimming your positions? Have you accepted that P/E ratios will remain high and that they are justified for high growth companies?#personalfinance #investments #stocks #stockmarket

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TOP 31 Comments
  • Amazon
    omYT25

    Go to company page Amazon

    omYT25
    I'd love to see the stock market crash. It usually recovers within 3 years, and I'd get to put in a lot of money while it's low. It's not like I plan on retiring in the next decade anyways.
    Feb 6, 2021 1
    • Google
      onlystonks

      Go to company page Google

      onlystonks
      Crash already happened last year, the fed literally promised do to everything it can to prop up this overvalued market. And Dems promised infinite stimulus. Get with the program.
      Feb 6, 2021
  • If you don't want to see a 50% drop you can't invest. Of course we'll have a large drop but you cannot time it. Could be tomorrow or in ten years. The market is obviously not over valued at current interest rates. A handful of companies are out of control of course but the overall market valuation is reasonable and the fed is going to keep printing money.
    Feb 6, 2021 2
    • Amazon / Consultant
      TsaB33

      Go to company page Amazon Consultant

      TsaB33
      OP
      It’s not like I can’t handle 50% drops. It won’t be a pleasing experience though lol. I’ve been 100% invested in stocks for last couple of months. I felt like I should keep some cash now in case we do see a big drop. Just wanted to know people’s opinions about market valuations and why they think they’re reasonable. Whether they’re taking any precautions?
      Feb 6, 2021
    • Cash is trash, avoid it as much as possible.
      Feb 6, 2021
  • Amazon
    khaldrog

    Go to company page Amazon

    khaldrog
    There will be a crash at some point. It will be very bad. If you have a view on what might trigger it, you can balance your portfolio with something that's likely to rise or not drop.

    For me it's currency crisis triggered by excessive printing by central banks. So my thumb rule is to keep not more than 50% in stocks, at least 25% gold/silver/btc and remaining in cash/bonds/real estate. Also, one possibility would be that stocks won't fall but rise in this scenario so having larger share in equity is pretty helpful in either case.
    Feb 6, 2021 9
    • Amazon
      khaldrog

      Go to company page Amazon

      khaldrog
      Sounds like a reasonable strategy to me
      Feb 6, 2021
    • Google
      onlystonks

      Go to company page Google

      onlystonks
      >My theory is that once travel and leisure industry opens up properly, people will start spending more

      Which means companies will earn even MORE money and make even HIGHER profits, which drives the stock market even HIGHER. Ignore the rest of your post. This market will go on for years.
      Feb 6, 2021
  • Amazon
    lsanchez

    Go to company page Amazon

    lsanchez
    It's all good. That being said markets are always volatile and you should pick an asset allocation that you are comfortable with.
    Feb 6, 2021 0
  • Facebook / Product
    primal

    Go to company page Facebook Product

    primal
    I’ve just got out of the market, into gold 3 month puts.
    Feb 7, 2021 5
    • Facebook / Product
      primal

      Go to company page Facebook Product

      primal
      I’ve taken a hypothesis that a correction would be > 20% so I’ve taken a 20% below strike, which is v decent premiums as unlikely. I’d prefer to trade off on strike to buy longer options in this case as who knows if correction would be in 3 months or 1 year...
      Feb 8, 2021
    • Goldman Sachs / Eng
      datadata2

      Go to company page Goldman Sachs Eng

      datadata2
      @ Google, take your portfolio value and divide that with the strike price.

      For a 100K portfolio, I will buy 35 SnP put options with a strike price of 3000 probably with expiry of December this year.
      Feb 10, 2021