Iran has lost control of the virus, and it's entered other countries with weak or ineffective government. China has limited it, but it'sx too late: they let five million people travel from Wuhan before the quarantine and it's obvious now those people basically spread it everywhere. Iran is the worst. They have no idea how many cases they have, but random people traveling from Iran are carrying the virus and they are now seeing multiple deaths. That likely means it's endemic in Iran. The US can slow the entry of the disease but only for so long. As the disease spreads without limit through other countries it will eventually spread here. Unless there's a vaccine, which is unlikely, we will eventually see 3 to 5 millions deaths in the US, unless an effective treatment is found, and assuming it ends up infecting half the population.
Yeah, i think likely to become a pandemic. I think slowly going to ramp up and will be a serious issue by the summer.
SARS2 already meets the definition of a pandemic, ie self sustaining outbreaks in multiple continents. WHO should declare an official pandemic sometime this week.
It’s already a pandemic, the WHO just hasn’t hit send on the notification. Thanks Italy. Lots of governmental hope being placed on vaccines that don’t exist and summer weather killing the bug to buy time, not encouraging.
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OC from near my crib.
Hadn't heard about Iran. Link?
Op, why don’t you work on your last will? You are clearly going to die soon. Have a prenup too if you have a wife.
Actually, get rid of all prenups - what if she might die? 😉
Pple r still living man and working. It’ll pass away like any other illness. I believe in our doctors and scientists. And apparently the symptoms arent affecting everyone, so we aint talking about some Spanish Flu shh
At what cost? How many people will die from this disease? WHO announced that the latest CFR (case fatality ratio) for SARS2 has climbed to almost 3%. SARS1 had an initial CFR of 4% but later analysis showed it was closer to 7%. At its current trajectory millions of people will be infected by summer, of which 100k+ will die.
This is going to overwhelm our Healthcare System and create a wave of death as coronavirus patients take up all the healthcare resources. Stock market is going to tank big time. It's already started
Are u aware that US has spread h1n1 in 2009 and caused 40k+ death worldwide, with government taking NO quarantine or any effective attempts whatsoever. Even to this days thousands still die from h1n1 yearly.
Yes. Are you aware this is killing a much higher percentage of patients? The flu kills 0.01% of people who catch it, the 40k are out of a very, very large number of patients. NCV is killing 2% of patients. That's 200x as many given the same number of patients.
LOL no, 0.01% is regular flu, h1n1 is 3% death rate
Iran really dropped the ball. One of the people who tested positive from Iran said most people were coughing at the airport. It's over. Hundreds of thousands will die this year from this.
Millions
What’s with the “Iran has lost control of the virus”? I don’t get it, as if other countries didn’t “lose” it yet? I mean literally in the SF Bay Area we got people who directly came from Wuhan with virus and was roaming around freely before getting diagnosed. So is that also “losing” the situation or nah?
There are people coming out of Iran with no known contact with China who are testing positive. That implies it's widespread, just generally spreading through the population in Iran, but the Iranian regime is either oblivious, or covering up what they know. Yes people from Wuhan left and roamed around lots of places, but when they are in a country like Singapore, the US, or South Korea the public health system reacts pretty efficiently and there's a chance of containing it. Obviously what happened is that they basically went everywhere and some of the places they went are simply not prepared to deal with it. I just don't think the Iranian regime is even remotely equipped to respond, failed to respond, and now has a widespread epidemic which will certainly spread to other countries.
Careful guys. Iran expert on the lose.
That might be a good thing. SF is getting way too expensive. We need to thin the housing demand.
Ok Dwight Shrute
Ditto