NYC numbers have been soaring. With >8k confirmed cases, new yorkers are you worried?
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Richmond BC has a population under 200k. Queens is north of 2 million. Queens has more chinese alone than every human alive in Richmond.
You’re real stupid.
patients = initial_patients * (2 ^ (days / doubling_time)) - patients_recovered
Given that doubling time in the US has been about 3 days for the past 3 months, you can see that initial_patients quickly becomes irrelevant. And given that the Asian countries have had the situation under control for a month, we have received few new patients from them.
The doubling_time is the most important variable here. We maximize it with the most aggressive possible quarantine strategies.