Did you use the LCA H1B data and calculate #Certifications to total filings excluding withdrawn application? If so, this data is invalid. USCIS processes approval/denial for H1B while Labor department certifies or denies LCA. We won't get H1B approval odds from LCA data If you were able to correlate LCA filings for a year vs H1B approvals from USCIS, can you please share the source for H1B data? Thanks!
Thanks for clarifying! The 2018 top 30 company data shared by USCIS can be helpful here. You will see that approval odds are pretty much as high as what you pointed out for tech companies. However, it would have been interesting to see approval odds by job role. For Tech - New applications had 1.7% rejections in 2018 and 1.5% of Continuing applications were rejected v/s for Consulting - 37.6% of new applications and 20.6% of continuing applications were rejected Google, Facebook had best odds with <1% applications rejected in 2018; Apple, MSFT and Amazon were around ~1.5% and Cisco at 2.1%
I am kinda frustrated with the ambiguity around this. I saw the exact same thing before this analysis - case status says the last significant event so I presumed (even though it is LCA data but labeled as H1b data) that it was H1b decision. Websites such as https://h1bdata.info and http://www.myvisajobs.com/Reports/2019-H1B-Visa-Category.aspx?T=ST both use the same language/visa status when referring to H1b (4 main categories: certified, certified-withdrawn,withdrawn and denied). So I am going to label this post as LCA decision I guess, any ideas?
I didn't see anyone saying they are denied, the posts from Mcrsft guys with "h1b denial" are either asking for risks or talking about their friend or saying they are moving from Mcrsft to XX company etc.