H1-b Transfer - LCA Odds of Denial

New / Eng
deeprocker

New Eng

BIO
BS in Robotics Eng (US), MS in Data Science (US Ivy League)
deeprockermore
Feb 27, 2019 61 Comments

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TOP 61 Comments
  • New conga
    Amazing! Thanks for this info deeprocker 🙌
    Feb 27, 2019 0
  • McKinsey 131111
    Did you use the LCA H1B data and calculate #Certifications to total filings excluding withdrawn application? If so, this data is invalid. USCIS processes approval/denial for H1B while Labor department certifies or denies LCA. We won't get H1B approval odds from LCA data
    If you were able to correlate LCA filings for a year vs H1B approvals from USCIS, can you please share the source for H1B data? Thanks!
    Feb 27, 2019 3
    • McKinsey 131111
      Thanks for clarifying! The 2018 top 30 company data shared by USCIS can be helpful here. You will see that approval odds are pretty much as high as what you pointed out for tech companies. However, it would have been interesting to see approval odds by job role.
      For Tech - New applications had 1.7% rejections in 2018 and 1.5% of Continuing applications were rejected
      v/s for Consulting - 37.6% of new applications and 20.6% of continuing applications were rejected
      Google, Facebook had best odds with <1% applications rejected in 2018; Apple, MSFT and Amazon were around ~1.5% and Cisco at 2.1%
      Feb 28, 2019
    • New / Eng
      deeprocker

      New Eng

      BIO
      BS in Robotics Eng (US), MS in Data Science (US Ivy League)
      deeprockermore
      OP
      Yes i actually shared that top 30 data in another post, did not want to crowd this one. Meanwhile i requested raw data from USCIS hopefully they ll provide that
      Feb 28, 2019
  • OP, i think the data you are using is basically extracted from icert portal? I think that data only tells about lca is certified or denied right?

    Does the lca status also change to denied when h1b is denied?

    I was reading H-1B_FY19_Record_Layout file for the meaning of columns and i did see case status tells about the last significant event or decision.
    Feb 28, 2019 2
    • New / Eng
      deeprocker

      New Eng

      BIO
      BS in Robotics Eng (US), MS in Data Science (US Ivy League)
      deeprockermore
      OP
      I am kinda frustrated with the ambiguity around this. I saw the exact same thing before this analysis - case status says the last significant event so I presumed (even though it is LCA data but labeled as H1b data) that it was H1b decision. Websites such as https://h1bdata.info and http://www.myvisajobs.com/Reports/2019-H1B-Visa-Category.aspx?T=ST both use the same language/visa status when referring to H1b (4 main categories: certified, certified-withdrawn,withdrawn and denied). So I am going to label this post as LCA decision I guess, any ideas?
      Feb 28, 2019
    • Lumeris Squee20
      Deeprocker - Agreed! That helps with the ambiguity! I'm sure the h1b status numbers are much more dire.
      Feb 28, 2019
  • Microsoft naaam
    Very good analysis sir. I think all said, for legit jobs in respectable companies, the process may be slow but still not bad. The ones feeling heat are the bodyshop companies.
    Feb 27, 2019 0
  • Microsoft TonyShark
    I want to make you the top contributor .. because you are
    Feb 28, 2019 0
  • Apple zeo meo
    What do you think of my case?
    Bachelors in electronics - india
    MS in CS from USA
    Transferring to one of the other FAANG's

    current role same as new role: Sr. Software Engg

    Do anyone of you think I should worry?
    Feb 27, 2019 4
    • Yelp Rsqx75
      @deeprocker Your numbers above have 0% rejections for Uber but someone on blind posted about a transfer rejection with Uber?
      Feb 28, 2019
    • Yelp Rsqx75
      I guess it was for 2019?
      Feb 28, 2019
  • So no one is denied H1 while transferring to Netflix?
    Feb 27, 2019 3
    • Facebook tGTv63
      Wait weren't there a few people from Microsoft complaining on blind being denied h1?
      Feb 27, 2019
    • New / Eng
      deeprocker

      New Eng

      BIO
      BS in Robotics Eng (US), MS in Data Science (US Ivy League)
      deeprockermore
      OP
      I didn't see anyone saying they are denied, the posts from Mcrsft guys with "h1b denial" are either asking for risks or talking about their friend or saying they are moving from Mcrsft to XX company etc.
      Feb 27, 2019
  • Cerner 10 x Eng?
    Thanks 🙏 a lot for doing the hard work and sharing the data for community.

    I started a thread with a question to join on receipt and find your thread/analysis very helpful.

    Can you share your code (if any) how you draw those metrics from data, so I can do similar stuff on my end, and have peace in my mind.
    Feb 27, 2019 1
    • New / Mgmt
      deeprocker

      New Mgmt

      BIO
      BS in Robotics Eng (US), MS in Data Science (US Ivy League)
      deeprockermore
      OP
      will PM you the code
      Feb 27, 2019
  • Yahoo / Eng
    Yahoo❗

    Yahoo Eng

    PRE
    Yahoo
    Yahoo❗more
    OP, you are amazing!
    Feb 27, 2019 0
  • Did similar research. Joined with receipt on October. Got approval in ~3 months
    Feb 27, 2019 5
    • No one can predict anything when premium is suspended. We can only tell u how our process went and rest is up to USCIS
      Feb 28, 2019
    • Visa KijL27
      What is your profile. Grad, undergrad, SOC code your petition filed under, etc? I am in similar situation and trying to access my chances of approval
      3d