LinkedIn 2016 - To Sell or Not To Sell?
In 2016, LinkedIn stock dropped sharply - by 43% to about a $15 billion market cap - when its revenue growth slowed to $3.65 bn, versus a forecasted $3.90 bn. It was growing at 37% year over year but forecast its growth rate to sharply decelerate.
It ended that year with $3.7 billion in net revenue and an agreement to sell itself to Microsoft for $26 billion. At the time, executives, and Reid Hoffman, expected revenue growth to trail the industry.
In 2021, LinkedIn surpassed $10 bn in revenues. That is an annual growth rate of 22% over 5 years.
In 2016, I thought LinkedIn made a mistake to sell itself. I still think so today. If we use a conservative Price/Sales ratio of 5, LinkedIn could have a $50 billion Market Cap today.
Microsoft was lucky it bought LinkedIn and not Yahoo.
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E.g. Reddit is destroying itself in the name of growth