Reading too many articles that we might be looking at recession in 2023 - yield curve inversion, Ukraine invasion, China’s zero Covid policy, quantitative tightening, record inflation, housing market bubble.
What do you guys think?
#recession #stockmarket #2023
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But I also know that all my predictions have terribly failed in the past, and that the only thing that has worked well for me is adding money to an ETF every month, even when I was fully convinced that the market was going to go down…, so that’s what I’ll keep doing
Big companies can absorb some impact and labor market has been so tough, they will over hire
Your best bet is to enter a profitable large corporation and keep head down.
In my comment I was claiming the unemployment rate is a leading indicator with respect to (quarterly) earnings reports. I stand by that assertion because previous unemployment rates are helpful in predicting how well certain companies have done in the quarter leading up to their upcoming earnings.
Generally, unemployment rates would be lagging indicators with respect to overall market health and specifically they would lag the market during a trend reversal. I would just like to note that this is not what I was referring to. I was specifically referring to their predictive capability for upcoming earnings in several important market sectors.