Recession 2023?

Microsoft / Eng
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Go to company page Microsoft Eng

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Apr 11 69 Comments

Reading too many articles that we might be looking at recession in 2023 - yield curve inversion, Ukraine invasion, China’s zero Covid policy, quantitative tightening, record inflation, housing market bubble.

What do you guys think?

#recession #stockmarket #2023

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TOP 69 Comments
  • Google
    bebopss

    Go to company page Google

    bebopss
    Oh, they canceled the 2022 recession fear mongering already?
    Apr 11 4
    • Google
      tchibo

      Go to company page Google

      tchibo
      Delaying that crushing recession is obviously a conspiracy by powers that be to annoy Harry Dent, Peter Shiff and other great prophets of impending economic collapse.
      Apr 11
    • New
      c0aster

      New

      c0aster
      Cisco search on blind, recession posts since 2019 but more in 2022 for sure
      Apr 11
  • I think it may happen this time, given all the crazy indicators telling us the market is not in a good position now.

    But I also know that all my predictions have terribly failed in the past, and that the only thing that has worked well for me is adding money to an ETF every month, even when I was fully convinced that the market was going to go down…, so that’s what I’ll keep doing
    Apr 11 2
  • Google
    UWOM24

    Go to company page Google

    UWOM24
    Stocks will fall first, recession comes later, probably in 23
    Apr 11 15
    • Google
      3id829du

      Go to company page Google

      3id829du
      Growth companies has been falling since March of last year, some lay off at smaller pre ipo companies showing up…

      Big companies can absorb some impact and labor market has been so tough, they will over hire
      Apr 11
    • New
      oreosrc

      New

      oreosrc
      Are y'all saying they will overhire or they have? @coaster, sometimes even these fancy financial analysts or whatever cant predict anything.
      Your best bet is to enter a profitable large corporation and keep head down.
      Apr 11
  • Have been seeing such posts since 2015
    Apr 11 1
  • New
    tigerbl00d

    New

    tigerbl00d
    It happens when most people think it won't. Also, all current information is always already priced into the market. Everything you have mentioned is not new news so it would not, in and of itself, be a catalyst for recession. Recessions happen hard and fast, then they take a lingering amount of time to recover from.
    Apr 11 6
    • New
      oreosrc

      New

      oreosrc
      @NQBd44 I just feel employers would cut back on hiring...
      Apr 11
    • New
      tigerbl00d

      New

      tigerbl00d
      Amazon, yes it can be argued that unemployment rate is a lagging indicator. However, I would argue that whether an indicator is leading or lagging depends on what it is relative to.

      In my comment I was claiming the unemployment rate is a leading indicator with respect to (quarterly) earnings reports. I stand by that assertion because previous unemployment rates are helpful in predicting how well certain companies have done in the quarter leading up to their upcoming earnings.

      Generally, unemployment rates would be lagging indicators with respect to overall market health and specifically they would lag the market during a trend reversal. I would just like to note that this is not what I was referring to. I was specifically referring to their predictive capability for upcoming earnings in several important market sectors.
      Apr 12