The "people are afraid to let others in the house" situation will pass. The major recession will last longer. This supply shock you're imagining will be far surpassed by the demand shock, and prices will fall.
It won’t pass for 12+ months. Agreed demand shock will last longer, but Fed money printing will last longest of all. And that’s why we will have stagflation.
How about you look at actual facts. Everyone on here seems like their a professional realtor. According to the actual numbers that I posted, inventory is way down because people ain't selling. Who knows what will happen next, but there ya go.
Multiple personal opinions from an economist and real estate expert wow so much talent!
Where is the evidence that the low inventory will be temporary? I think there will be a recession and already adjusted my real estate for it but you're not going to have a repeat of the 2008 FINANCIAL disaster as this is totally different. Also the unemployment and layoffs are hitting lower incomes hard but not tech especially Amazon (record number of people buying from there).
AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, and OCI we're actually all growing from this due to the increase in demand for internet and cloud services and these are all based in the Seattle area. All this money and equity will continue to sap housing and if you bother to pull up Redfin or Zillow you'll see houses still going up in the market and go to pending within a week.
Two of my friends wanting to buy in Seattle between $600-800k withdrew their offers in the last two months due to COVID. The prices have come down by ~30k (edited). Anyone else see a similar trend?
Real estate friend is still seeing bidding wars in highly desirable areas. I recently bought and had competition, but I still got it for list. It was a new build though (they tend to be close to market price). I’m guessing that competitively priced homes will have multiple offers, but over-priced homes from ambitious sellers should see a price decrease. Homes with a price decrease are tainted and will sell for even less.
comments
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/economic-expert-with-perfect-record-calling-recessions-is-betting-this-one-will-be-over-by-the-end-of-2020-2020-05-06
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/06/weekly-mortgage-applications-show-real-recovery-in-homebuying.html
Where is the evidence that the low inventory will be temporary? I think there will be a recession and already adjusted my real estate for it but you're not going to have a repeat of the 2008 FINANCIAL disaster as this is totally different. Also the unemployment and layoffs are hitting lower incomes hard but not tech especially Amazon (record number of people buying from there).
AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, and OCI we're actually all growing from this due to the increase in demand for internet and cloud services and these are all based in the Seattle area. All this money and equity will continue to sap housing and if you bother to pull up Redfin or Zillow you'll see houses still going up in the market and go to pending within a week.