uber, lyft, zoom, pagerduty, beyondmeats, fastly, crowdstrike, swav... etc all these companies have IPO’d recently. There are more to this list, which I have probably missed. Does this mean investors want to cash out by this year or in the next few months? and does this mean a definite recession sometime this year in the later half? What are your thoughts? Yes : recession No : no recession
Yes, they got spooked by the correction in Q4 last year
Everyone wants ipo. Execs have most of those comp in options and rsu. They want access to it.
It’s the opposite. As mark Cuban said, most of these IPOs hit too late and are no longer growth stories. Investors are getting greedy and waiting longer to make more $$
If everyone says there will be a recession their likely won't be a big one.
I wouldn't bet on it being small. We will be coming off the largest expansion in history. There is also a tremendous amount of instability in the US and internationally.
There are only two types of liquidity events, IPO or acquisition. The IPO market is very volatile so when the window opens the companies jump through as quickly as possible. Right now IPO's are in favor so if there is a plan to go public in the next 12 months companies accelerate that plan. This window will close very soon and the companies that didn't IPO will be forced to dilute further with the bigger VC's. Once a company IPO's they have two options for continued funding with public and private placement.
I think things might slow down a bit but not sure if this year. I will bet more on it the next year if a Democrat is elected president and also I am not betting on a big recession but a long flat line which probably will be as painful
VC funds have 10 year windows. Most of those companies are nearing 10 years or are hire for funds which are nearing 10 years. They have to return money to investors so they are forcing them to go public now