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We pay the most for the crappiest health care!
That tells you US has relatively less people tested than they should. Many more people may already be carriers. I would trust the 100k number more (larger and diverse sample space). Btw US rate is closer to 5% than 4%
You'd be trusting numbers coming out of China. They generally curb / mess with their numbers for whatever reason. Not saying it's not serious, but the accuracy of their official numbers is... dubious at best
But I think your government treats its people too crappy, hence the higher rate. Lel.
The death rate of not old/sick people is near 0.
I am sure this comes from good source. Could you please share the source of info?
It's ~0.2% . Average death rate from road accidents per year in US is ~0.01%. So only 20X worse but sure...
That’s around 5.6 % for world
Agree with both of you: that is the better number and the number is higher.
Sample size is small yet in the US
The problem is that there is a lot of uncertainty in the numerator and denominator are very uncertain here. I won’t bore you with details but it is some distribution with 95% confidence interval probably between 0.5 to 6% mortality assuming healthcare system holds (there is no run on the hospital so to speak). 75% is probably closer to 1-2%
Clearly suggests, we all should actively try to control this outbreak rather than expecting government to act to stop.. meaning, we should all run a movement to stop movement.. and should not give **** about economy, job or anything except your and your family’s health.
2% is a wrong estimation as the formula used to calculate it uses confirmed cases data. As we all know, we don’t have enough test kits to test most sick people and so the numbers are skewed and so is that percentage
The death rate in South Korea is 0.6% because they have actually tested shit tons of people, are treating the sick, and generally on top of it. The death rate is highly dependent on how many cases you are detecting. I suspect there are many thousands of people with mild coronavirus cases in the US that are being told by their doctor that it's just a cold and they don't meet the criteria for testing (that's what I was told this week, and I have had symptoms that could be consistent with coronavirus... Or could just be a cold).
What difference does it make if you know if you have coronavirus? Treatment isn’t significantly different than the flu.
Doesn't really matter to me personally, I am doing the same stuff, though I guess I would be officially quarantined if I knew I had covid-19. The statistics matter to the panic factor and expected outcomes though. 0.6% mortality rate is actually more like a serious flu after all, vs 3.4%, as reported in the news.
In US there are actually more than 400 cases, just too healthy to test. So the US death rate is probably close to other country rates actually if you calibrate. (Edited)
With all respect, that’s also true for people who are dead or will be dead but not reported.
What do you think is more likely - someone dying of corona and it being unreported or someone having corona and it being unreported?