CompensationMar 15, 2019
Newbui

Uber RSU Valuation as of May 2019

Considering Uber vs Google. Uber is going to file for IPO in April. I would receive between 5-6k Uber RSUs over 4 years if I accept my offer for L4. The problem that I see with this is now I am going to have to wait 12 months to sell, which is probably going to be many months after the lockup period is over and other employees are already selling. How much is Uber’s stock going to potentially drop after the lockup period expires? How much risk am I taking by accepting Uber RSUs in May 2019? I am also just concerned about market risk as we are late in the business cycle and we could be in recession before May 2020. My other option is Google, no numbers yet

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Suckerborg Mar 15, 2019

LOL you don’t have much to lose anyway why even bother.

Apple bR2!#~~%^ Mar 16, 2019

Employees selling doesn't impact the stock price by much or for long. The bigger risk is the stock underperforming. To assess that, you need an expert predictor of stock market success. See FB, GOOG, Snap, Twilio, AMZN, Netflix, AAPL, MSFT. Which one will Ubers stock be like? BTW, what's Ubers stated fair market value of their shares now?

AIG Raging Mar 16, 2019

Is this your offer - smh2313 ?

Twitter Nofeedtrol Mar 16, 2019

Please let me know when you find a crystal ball.

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bui OP Mar 16, 2019

I don’t know if it’s safe to disclose the 409a on Blind

Facebook icdN16 Mar 16, 2019

It's not. And i hope no one does it either.

Google 🌲 50 Mar 16, 2019

Its 42

Amazon Truthtable Mar 16, 2019

Safe? Just search on blind you will find it. It is in 40's

Capital One EXwk33 Mar 16, 2019

Slowing growth and massive losses tend to work out poorly in the long run.

Google Mr. Glass Mar 16, 2019

Yeah just ask Amazon

Bloomberg ezJV08 Mar 16, 2019

Ask Google to give you a sign on bonus and use that to short Uber stock a little bit before they release their quarterly earnings. Your TC will triple.

Uber hpcu24 Mar 20, 2019

Quarterly earnings have been published since 2017

Expedia person a Mar 16, 2019

I thought when there's a financial event (like IPO) then you can sell your RSUs immediately. Or does that only apply to options?

Uber bvcxcdf Mar 16, 2019

Oh I know.It will be down by 22.87% on the day you can sell. But if you hold for another year it will be 132.775% higher. Hope that helps

Google Mr. Glass Mar 16, 2019

And if you’re off, he’ll come for your blood. 😉

IBM PTSD Mar 16, 2019

Thanks for the insider info. I'm gonna time it and place on order when it dips 22.87%. ( this is How millennials invest. GenZ is worse. Uber has dark mode in the app. Let me buy more blah blah and GenY be like..Uber has car but has not acquired any oil companies. All their cars won't work when oil runs out.. So I'm not gonna buy it)

Facebook xxkw86 Mar 16, 2019

How do you know it will IPO in April? Will the number of shares be the same if you accept the offer now and join in May (assume it gets IPO in April)?