HousingMay 19, 2019
AppleiInvest

Austin Housing Market - Buy or Hold?

I’m moving from Bay to Austin end of this month. 1. I’m on H1B with I-140 approved, but whole process from PERM will be reapplied post amendment. Haven’t had any issues with visa transfers, extensions in the past for my skill set / profile however anything is possible in future! 2. I have enough savings to buy a $400K home all cash. Not that I would but just to set some context on my financial health. 3. This will be for primary residence. I’m hearing mixed opinions from colleagues and fends about upcoming recession and possible crash of housing market. Question: Considering my visa status and current housing market, should I Go for purchase or Hold until market crashes? 12 yrs/320K (possible 10% reduction after move)

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Apple iInvest OP May 20, 2019

Winter is definitely coming... but will it be this season or 8 seasons later, is the question.

Google Mr. Glass May 20, 2019

Regardless, the undead will be defeated in a single fight. So chill and buy

Tree.com vDYq17 May 20, 2019

You can't time the market. If it's for primary residence, just buy it but leverage the low interest rate and take a loan instead

Apple iInvest OP May 20, 2019

Thanks. Can I refinance later if the interest rate goes down when recession kicks in?

Tree.com vDYq17 May 21, 2019

Sure you can. But look at historical rates, it's hardly been this low.

Nvidia dynosight May 20, 2019

#hodlgang, but always buy.

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jo2305 May 20, 2019

Buy. Austin housing market is going crazy

Apple iInvest OP May 20, 2019

Thanks. Have you invested already or looking for investment opportunities in Austin housing market?

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jo2305 May 20, 2019

I live in Austin but still rent until I can afford a down payment on a house. Austin is growing like crazy. Apple is building a new campus for 5k+ employees, Google is leasing (and renovating) an entire skyscraper in downtown, Oracle just finished their new campus, and Amazon is expanding here too.

EA Mk55hd May 21, 2019

Buy, all cash if you can (interests sucks). Also I bought my house while on H1B and now on GC so go for it!

Apple iTrade May 21, 2019

Congrats! Mine won’t be possible for another 10-15 years!

RetailMeNot three mice May 21, 2019

A fixed 4% interest rate is some of the best debt you can take on. It makes more sense to put 20% down and put the other 80% in low-cost index funds. The S&P 500 has consistently yielded an annual 30-year return of greater than 9% (source: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2016/05/deconstructing-30-year-stock-market-returns/). That’s a 5% arbitrage opportunity that you leave on the table by paying cash. Factor in the mortgage interest tax deduction and the ROI is even greater. Additionally, your assets are more diversified and much more liquid, both of which help to mitigate risk.

Apple iTrade May 21, 2019

This is a great point too. We usually forget Uncle Sam when estimating market returns

Apple FWB May 22, 2019

The comments are misleading - Is it a Go OR Hold in Austin market? Mortgaging vs paying most in cash is a different topic isn’t?

EA Mk55hd May 22, 2019

True. I think is a GO

Oracle sweEng May 23, 2019

Buy near Domain and the new apple campus. Unless there is a total tech wipe out i don't see Austin market going down anytime soon. Worst case you might see 5 or 10% drop when recession hits, but ur quality of life would be far far better living in a home.