How Products like Google will die
Let's use this thread to predict the pivotal way where an established tech product will start dying. I will start with how Google search may die - The internet is no longer like old internet where the information is scattered around Millions of websites. Majority of information is now controlled by top 30-50 websites (wikipedia, Amazon, Yelp, reddit, Pinterest, Expedia, zillow, Stack overflow, Medium, webmd, ...). These websites will cut access of their contents to Google search and launch a combined Search engine. Google will only serve the content from rest of the internet which is polluted by SEOs spamming the Google search result.
By then we will have died
I was thinking about the same thing. It is going to take really long time, and by that time Google will be doing multiple new products al together.
DuckDuckGo is the way to go
It’s a good thought experiment. Typically companies die from some new tech that has unforeseen consequences. ML is the next big thing on the horizon so my guess for a google disruptor is that the web gets so polluted with malicious AI agents generating content that is so hard to detect at scale that google search becomes useless. Obviously this would hit any open site: twitter, Reddit, discord, will all get overwhelmed with agents spreading disinformation for various self serving reasons (e.g. Chinese propaganda or ad money ) Ultimately rendering these surfaces useless in their current form
Google has solid products without good competition. OTOH, social media companies can be dislodged much more easily depending on the fad. Meta will need to keep buying social media companies. One miss and they could be out.
Meta already missed out on Tiktok which is huge now and out of its reach.
Before that Meta missed out on Snap (granted, Meta did try to buy them).
Let’s talk how Meta will go down - have Mr. ZickHead run it for some more years
Go short the stock and make millions if you’re so confident
Nuclear war or something equally catastrophic
Assuming Google doesn't do anything else for years...too many variables to think about.
What's a big product that Google has launched recently that actually has some user acceptance? YouTube music is a piss poor replacement for Google play music, so I cancelled that subscription. New gpay is weird AF compared to the old one, so stopped using that too. Stopped using Hangouts because you guys can't make up a coherent chat app strategy. Nest and Assistant keep on getting worse by the day. Considering all of the above, it might actually be better if Google doesn't do anything for years.
Sounds like the average Google search result nowadays, it doesn't even answer the question. I asked if you guys had launched something decent recently, and I get an answer about your revenues.
10 years and big tech would all vanish !
I’d love to hear your thoughts in more detail, sincerely
🦆 🦆 go is a really good search engine too. Without all the BS. Please try it out and I bet you won’t miss google much.
Like really sucks bad
It uses bing