In 2016, LinkedIn stock dropped sharply - by 43% to about a $15 billion market cap - when its revenue growth slowed to $3.65 bn, versus a forecasted $3.90 bn. It was growing at 37% year over year but forecast its growth rate to sharply decelerate. It ended that year with $3.7 billion in net revenue and an agreement to sell itself to Microsoft for $26 billion. At the time, executives, and Reid Hoffman, expected revenue growth to trail the industry. In 2021, LinkedIn surpassed $10 bn in revenues. That is an annual growth rate of 22% over 5 years. In 2016, I thought LinkedIn made a mistake to sell itself. I still think so today. If we use a conservative Price/Sales ratio of 5, LinkedIn could have a $50 billion Market Cap today. Microsoft was lucky it bought LinkedIn and not Yahoo.
$50b is a double over $26b in 2016. How much has MSFT gone up?
Almost the same percentage from $15 billion to $50 billion...
MSFT more than 3X, not twice the last 5 years. Before the recent crash, it was 5X at peak.
What do you think of the Activision deal, OP?
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Maybe LinkedIn grew so much in last 6 years because Microsoft acquired it?
Maybe thatโs why LinkedIn is Great. Itโs not trying to force growth and destroy long term value. E.g. Reddit is destroying itself in the name of growth