Tech IndustryJan 25, 2022
Goldman Sachsgobblegobb

LinkedIn 2016 - To Sell or Not To Sell?

In 2016, LinkedIn stock dropped sharply - by 43% to about a $15 billion market cap - when its revenue growth slowed to $3.65 bn, versus a forecasted $3.90 bn. It was growing at 37% year over year but forecast its growth rate to sharply decelerate. It ended that year with $3.7 billion in net revenue and an agreement to sell itself to Microsoft for $26 billion. At the time, executives, and Reid Hoffman, expected revenue growth to trail the industry. In 2021, LinkedIn surpassed $10 bn in revenues. That is an annual growth rate of 22% over 5 years. In 2016, I thought LinkedIn made a mistake to sell itself. I still think so today. If we use a conservative Price/Sales ratio of 5, LinkedIn could have a $50 billion Market Cap today. Microsoft was lucky it bought LinkedIn and not Yahoo.

Oracle patchโ€™d Jan 25, 2022

Maybe LinkedIn grew so much in last 6 years because Microsoft acquired it?

Amazon RjNk00 Jan 25, 2022

Maybe thatโ€™s why LinkedIn is Great. Itโ€™s not trying to force growth and destroy long term value. E.g. Reddit is destroying itself in the name of growth

LinkedIn FIREman๐Ÿ’ช Jan 25, 2022

$50b is a double over $26b in 2016. How much has MSFT gone up?

Goldman Sachs gobblegobb OP Jan 25, 2022

Almost the same percentage from $15 billion to $50 billion...

LinkedIn aaavp Jan 25, 2022

MSFT more than 3X, not twice the last 5 years. Before the recent crash, it was 5X at peak.

LinkedIn aaavp Jan 25, 2022

What do you think of the Activision deal, OP?