COVID-19Mar 7, 2020
UberuCOVIDAn

Exponential Regression On Infected By Country

from day 0=first infection in country, almost all countries look exponential. The biggest non example is China who seems to have it under control (if we can trust their numbers). Doesnt look like any country has this under control. Obviosuly these are estimations, but at this rate tens if millions will have it in about 6-8 weeks.

Google UmtN02 Mar 7, 2020

Don't worry, if we create test kits at a linear rate, we should be able to get infection numbers down to a linear growth rate too!

Geico LosSouls Mar 7, 2020

Lol. I think the administration has a position for you.

Microsoft anormd Mar 7, 2020

No no the key is to look at test kits on a linear scale and infection rates on a log scale. victory!

E*Trade cbEV72 Mar 7, 2020

Dude, I don’t know where to start. That’s not how you fit parameters of the covid models

Amazon J_Bz Mar 7, 2020

Is this graph really accurate? I have been following the numbers from few days, and it doesn’t seem the way it’s represented here. South korea has seen cases b/w 400-500 for few days now, so that looks more linear to me now.

E*Trade cbEV72 Mar 7, 2020

It’s first exponential growth, then sort of linear, then kind of quadratic concave, then turns into decaying exponent

Goldman Sachs fake engin Mar 7, 2020

That's called logistic :P you expect it to reach a final proportion of the population given constant containment measures.