MarketWatch screaming every week on recession. Don’t know how faithful is inverted yield curve. Please share your thoughts. Hold on to your jobs at bluechips. Start ups bye bye. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-yield-curve-is-speeding-toward-inversion-heres-what-investors-need-to-know-11647977540
Yes, we all know this is happening. And no, most startups aren't going to die, that's not how this works.
I wonder why companies are still hiring like mad tho
Cheetah, even if they engineer recession any idea how bad it will be
I'd like to make an important observation here that the name is cheatah not cheetah. Thanks.
A major recession is most likely within 6 months. Not only a 13 year, but I think a 30+ year cycle of lower and lower rates just ended. Market participants don’t yet grasp the severe implications.
I think we won't see layoffs for around a year. First hiring freeze and offer rescinding and layoffs imo. By increasing rates they are hoping for gradual landing
Hard to say when companies start layoffs. It will happen of course.
it's gonna happen. bullard already thinks fed needs to go to 3%, power of petrodollar is waning, fed is at risk of losing control of inflation. in order to tame inflation there will be some collateral damage
How do you get out of a recession when rates are already rock bottom? First thing fed does at beginning of recession is slash rates to 0. We might be screwed.
they gonna start quantitative tightening as soon as may. some say each QT cycle is going to be effectively 25 basis point hike. bullard wants options are 50 basis point hike vs SF fed wants 25 basis point hike + some QT
Citi is now saying 4 back-to-back 50 basis points hikes at next 4 meetings likely! That will send 30 yr mortgage rates to 6-7% range. Which will send the housing market into 2008 like crash (after what has happened in last year). I think 20-30% price drops by end of year in most places.
That's why Fed is hiking rate so it can reduce later.
Lol no! They have no options any more. It’s already too late.
In 2018 I think they increased and then cut again. Powell has a tough task at play
We’re still at least 2-6 months away from recession. But yeah it’ll happen. Also, blue chips do layoffs too. Especially mid management.
Yeah. Layoffs do depend on profitability but also depends on company vision and culture and as someone joining a new company I am extra cautious
Expect more layoffs from start ups or no earnings ones. Companies with share prices with multiple price to earnings take a hit. With interest rates raising venture funds dry up and companies stop taking massive loans. Already companies debts r at highest rates. Crash is going to be like we have ever seen like this one. Just wait until September.
Just when I put in my papers at Microsoft to work for a over valued startup. Knowing my luck, Monday is 40% market crash? Recession? World war?
Not the best timing. But you will survive ... except if it’s ww3.
I mean, we can't predict who will do more layoffs than not. Msft had layoffs in 09, 13 and even 2020 though 2020 was much smaller. Just do your best and whatever happens happens
Where is recession?
we need to wait 6 months
WHO CARES!!