Roblox and Affirm IPO

Do you you all expect Affirm, Roblox, and Wish to perform similarly to DASH and ABNB in terms of massive run ups between IPO and initial trading price? I think the 3 aforementioned are actually more sound businesses than DoorDash or Airbnb, but they lack the same name recognition. TC: 215k #personalfinance #investments #ipo

Amazon gwRt03 Dec 10, 2020

Roblox is going to go through the roof because of Wall Street Bets.

Facebook RemoteBlue Dec 10, 2020

Everybody’s kids are on Roblox. Also they are making money. Should do well.

Uber tk.dk Dec 11, 2020

Can you elaborate more? What’s your expected valuation? Like unity?

NortonLifeLock oocla Dec 10, 2020

Haha, you Wish. I can Affirm that these IPOs won't pop like Doordash.

Affirm jeOR76 Dec 10, 2020

🍿

Affirm hrdlystrc Dec 19, 2020

🍿

Salesforce đŸŒșaloha Dec 10, 2020

Yes because the market is insane right now. It’s like 1999 all over again 😬

Amazon gwRt03 Dec 10, 2020

Were you around during that time? Do you think it’s gonna be the same? I saw from an article that the number of IPOs is usually massive before a crash

Salesforce đŸŒșaloha Dec 10, 2020

Nope. I was in elementary school but I read an article about it today. But maybe I’m just salty that I can’t even get to $200k...

American Airlines DpWK20 OP Dec 10, 2020

Does anyone know when the indication of interest periods are for these IPOs or the actual IPO dates?

Morgan Stanley fruubcdr56 Dec 10, 2020

⭐

Airbnb rich_ppl Dec 16, 2020

Wish just did their IPO today. The opposite of popping

Affirm not_max Dec 16, 2020

It’s actually way better to go down than pop. Airbnb missed out on almost $3 billion they could’ve gotten.

Airbnb rich_ppl Dec 16, 2020

LOL nice to think like a CEO. Kudos

Affirm not_max Dec 16, 2020

Popping is bad at ipo — it means the company undervalued its shares to the underwriters. Airbnb missed out on almost $3 billion they could’ve gotten. Going down means you’re over valued according to the market which means the underwriters got a bad deal. Ideally there shouldn’t be a pop or tank of the ipo is properly priced. Wish may be a steal right now — it’s trading at less than 8x revenue. Reasonably priced growth stage tech companies trade between 20x-30x revenue. SNOW is the most insane — trading at like 350x revenue.

American Airlines DpWK20 OP Dec 17, 2020

I agree with Wish being attractive in terms of valuation, especially relatively speaking. My issue with them is the company seems to be pedaling trash products and I’m not sure how attractive the business itself is

Affirm hrdlystrc Dec 19, 2020

More to the point, does anyone have a good idea of why tf they’re delaying our IPOs? “Price rose too much” Er... how is that a bad thing? I guess it falls under general “uncertainty”? Or maybe they’re worried about it going down after the general IPO hype fades and that sending a worse signal than just starting lower? Spitballing here

Affirm not_max Dec 19, 2020

Price change at ipo does not affect how much the company gets. Underwriters ‘buy’ (but really line up institutional investors) the shares at a set price from the company. If the price on the public market doubles on ipo day then the institutional investors get the profit not the company. Airbnb for instance could have sold shares to the investors for 2x the price price they did. They missed out on $3 billion of capital they could’ve raised. A pop on ipo mean the company undervalued themselves to the underwriters.

Affirm hrdlystrc Dec 19, 2020

Great point.