Doctor's notes on COVID-19 panel at UCSF
The big take-aways for me (personally) were: - 1.5 million Americans may die over the next 12-18 months (I think this metric is from the virus itself, not other reasons like lack of healthcare resources for other patients e.g. stab victims, car accidents, suicides, drug OD, etc) - Wuhan has 4.3 beds per thousand while US has 2.8 beds per thousand. - Don’t know whether COVID-19 is seasonal but if is and subsides over the summer, it is likely to roar back in fall as the 1918 flu did - Appears one can be infectious before being symptomatic - 40-70% of the US population will be infected over the next 12-18 months (I'm just assuming I'll get infected at this point and taking necessary steps to prepare) - Stockpile your critical prescription medications - We at UCSF are moving our “at-risk” parents back from nursing homes, etc. to their own homes. - I can only tell you two things definitively. Definitively it’s going to get worse before it gets better. And we'll be dealing with this for the next year at least. Our lives are going to look different for the next year. Notes found here: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/notes-from-ucsf-expert-panel-march-10-dr-jordan-shlain-m-d-/ TC: $150k #covid-19 #coronavirus
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What if they find someone immune and create a vaccine from their blood
You make a vaccine from inactivated virus. The blood of an immune person will have antibodies, but that doesn't help make a vaccine. The hard part is making a virus that is inactive enough not infect you for real, yet close enough to the real thing to get your immune system to build the right antibodies.
Great plan. Good idea. Thank you.