King county publishes a daily presser, I went through them an created a table to see the trend. Date # Cases 02/29 4 03/01 10 03/02 14 03/03 21 03/04 31 03/05 51 03/06 58 03/07 71 03/08 83 03/09 116 03/10 190 03/11 234 03/12 270 03/13 328 03/14 388 03/15 420 03/16 488 03/17 518 03/18 562 03/19 693 And here are the number of new cases in each 7 day period and the implied daily growth rate over each seven day interval: From To New Cases 03/01 - 03/07 67 32.3% 03/02 - 03/08 73 29.0% 03/03 - 03/09 102 27.7% 03/04 - 03/10 169 29.6% 03/05 03/11 203 24.3% 03/06 - 03/12 219 24.6% 03/07 - 03/13 270 24.4% 03/08 - 03/14 317 24.6% 03/09 - 03/15 337 20.2% 03/10 - 03/16 372 14.4% 03/11 - 03/17 328 12.0% 03/12 - 03/18 328 11.0% 03/13 - 03/19 423 11.3%
This really means that our growth rate of available tests is flattening.
Testing is still ramping up. There are definitely more sick people than the numbers being reported. I am guessing next 10-14 days will tell the story as we reach reasonable test capacity.
We're testing a LOT more This graph is for all US, but likely King County has similar numbers
☹️☹️
What is the source of this data?
https://www.kingcounty.gov/depts/health/news/2020/March.aspx I tabulated it by going through each daily update.
This week it’s sunny and people would have stepped out more than last week. Something to consider. In any case this is going to be there atleast for another 2 months atleast
Yeah, not ending any time soon, but I'm curious to track this to see if it's getting better or worse. I'll probably update it every couple days.
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So we have already flattened the curve?
Hard to say that yet, there was a steep jump in cases today but it came after two days of smaller increases.