Covid-19 numbers
Corona virus fatality rate is high for 60+ people, and severely high for 80+ people. I am just wondering if this is based on the assumption that every severe case got the required medical attention (mechanical ventilation broadly) ?? Now, if the US cases keep on rising, and the number of severe cases go up by more than the available ICU beds - approx 100k in the whole country, then the fatality rate will just spike like anything. #socialdistancing is a matter of life and death for the whole system and for all of us. Now, if I try to do a similar analysis for India, I am scared as hell. God help our earth. #covid-19
I was thinking the same: a 1% death rate if everyone gets good treatment. If not, numbers should be higher. 20% require medical care ...
Expected COVID-19 spread in India: 1. 300-500 million people infected by end of July 2. 1-2 million people dead 3. Peak of pandemic in next 3-10 weeks youtu.be/J4MlqkxCvhk
India does have demographics on its side though. 50+ % of the country in under 25yo. But yeah if the disease spreads to slums and shit, we might be fucked.