Looks like air travel is 3 times riskier than car travel if we use the deaths per journey number. It is riskier than Bus and comparable to Rails if we use the deaths per hour. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aviation_safety Edit: I mean air travel is safe. But it is misleading to say it is the SAFEST mode of transportation.
Reference please. Seems like it's saying 30 death / billion hours
But then we should know that on average, you are 3 times more likely to die when you board an airplane vs driving to work.
Statistics doesn't work that way
How many trips does an average person make by car vs. airplane per year? How many hours does an average person spend on a bus vs airplane per year?
Probably hundreds of trips by car and a couple trips by air. The point is that those a couple trips by air probably cover more distance than the hundreds of trips by car. However, is it fair to say air is 100 times safer than car because it travels so far and so quickly?
So, let's say a billion of people take hundreds of billion of trips by car per year, say a modest 200B, and a couple of billion of trips by air, say 4B. So 8000 (40 deaths per billion * 200 billion) will die in a car accident, and 468 (117 * 4) in an airplane crash. 468 < 8000, so which is safer? In other words, would you rather make 200 trips by car or 4 by air? Same logic applies to number of hours traveled. Convert to micromorts of you prefer.
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This graph is highly misleading. The average flight "journey" contains hundreds of passengers, whereas the average car journey contains <2 passengers. Thus if the fatal crash per journey rate of airplanes and cars were exactly the same, the deaths per journey of passenger aircraft would be ~100x that of cars, since there are roughly 100x as many passengers per journey. In reality, the number is only 3x higher, so the fatal crash per journey rate of cars is 33x higher than that of passenger aircraft, assuming the passenger ratio of 100 per flight : 1 per car trip.
As I mentioned previously, the journey is person-journey. The hour is person-hour and the mile is person-mile. So 100 people died in one plane is 100 deaths per 100 journey.
That isn't explicitly stated anywhere in the Wikipedia entry but sounds about right, based on the 2016 figure of 325 deaths per 3.696 billion worldwide passenger journeys. (87.93 ~ 117)
Don’t space shuttle to work, that’s it
This is the chart that airlines don't want you to see. Of course per hour and per km will be low, since accidents usually happen at the beginning or at the end. A 14 hour flight isn't significantly more dangerous than a 1 hour one (in fact it's probably safer on average since the longer flight is a widebody and with the seniormost pilots of the airline). However, if you look at per journeys, it's exactly where you'd expect it to be. More dangerous than all motorized ground-based transport. That being said it's not a significant risk since most people don't fly often.
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