HousingJan 11, 2019
MicrosoftToteMyGoat

New home sales tank 19% to end 2018

One bad news after another for housing market. With rates predicted to go up higher to 5% the worst might be yet to come. https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/07/housing-affordability-map.html

New home sales tank 19 percent to end 2018
New home sales tank 19 percent to end 2018
CNBC
Citibank Ht09q7 Jan 11, 2019

Check back in April after tax season. I suspect we’ll see a huge increase in listings once people that purchased before he SALT deduction laws passed see their tax bill.

Intel Jopdi(78 Jan 11, 2019

Most people getting $10K in SALT deductions were get $0 of SALT deductions before due to AMT.

Citibank Ht09q7 Jan 11, 2019

That’s the argument yet no one can seem to quantify the number. It’s not going to take a very large number of listings in places like the Bay Area to cause a major spike and a chain reaction of people listing. There are many more on the fence hoping to see prices continue to increase. This happened in 2015 and then prices soared. I think this time is truly different 😂

Intel Jopdi(78 Jan 11, 2019

Rates will hit 4% before they hit 5%.

Google blindler Jan 11, 2019

Huh, they have been over 4% for a while now. I assume you are talking about the 30 year fixed mortgage rate.

Intel Jopdi(78 Jan 11, 2019

Yep - my point is they’re going to come down given the 10yr Treasury has decreased by half a point over the last three months and the Fed is wavering on raising rates again. Mortgage rates have peaked for this cycle.

HPE mtpbg Jan 11, 2019

🍿

Facebook public2 Jan 11, 2019

How is this bad? Lol

LinkedIn Zeiwkf5 Jan 11, 2019

Home sales != home price.

Zillow Group trollman Jan 11, 2019

The end is near

Citibank Ht09q7 Jan 11, 2019

@trollman how is this possible? Are your “z” estimates really off by double digits % or are housing prices collapsing more quickly than your algos are capable of capturing? This is one example of many in SF.

Citibank Ht09q7 Jan 11, 2019

New
DuQvV7x Jan 12, 2019

Keep in mind, FHA loans don’t process during a government shutdown.

TuneIn Pshush Jan 12, 2019

What is that mean for home buyers?