It seems every couple of decades, we have a big shift in the latest & coolest tech sector from one industry domain to another. Before the semiconductor, boomers' parents wanted to work in the automobile & aerospace I believe. We millennials and GenZ are blessed with high tech salary in the software, but I'd be curious to see which tech sector will come after the software as the coolest domain in the next few decades. My predictions: 1) VR/AR will grow much bigger and create new unicorns and startups, like the mobile internet created Uber, Lyft, Doordash, Airbnb, etc. 2) Vertical farming, synthetic meats, home meal kits will get much bigger also. It might redefine groceries & dining experiences of today & kill traditional farming & grocery stores 3) eVTOLs & blended wing aircrafts & tiltrotors - likely we will have new airport designs to accommodate new plane types - it will make air travel more universal. 4) small modular reactors and then fusion. we will eventually move to the fusion, but until 2050s, likely will see more small modular reactors 5) biotech will get much bigger, with increasing focus on curing aging, artificial organs. Please share your thoughts in the comments
Semis become cool again.
biotech + Fusion + Heakthcare will likely be the next biggest things
SMRs are nice but currently only NuScale has licensed design in USA. They projecting 2030 for their premier project to be done at INL. I’m not optimistic on nuclear and definitely not on fusion. Studied nuclear engineering in schools but pivoted to SWE quickly after graduating
Actually there are a lot of people dedicated to researching advanced reactor design, utilizing spent nuclear fuel in new reactor designs, nuclear materials, and even fusion. I went to school with many smart and dedicated people so I’m not truly my to sell their hard work short. But I don’t see a vibrant future for nuclear industry in USA
what happened?
Synbio, AR, AGI, and software (still). Nothing else really scales.
Carbon neutral energy. Everything from creation to storage, usage, and capture
Things like what?
Creation - solar, wind, geothermal, wave motion, and fusion Storage - batteries, other high efficiency storage systems Usage - EVs obviously, biofuels, synthetic fuels. Replacing fossil fuels with green alternative Capture - CO2 removal from the sky People have shown they will use green tech when it's better or cheaper. They aren't actively against green, it's just that most people refuse to be inconvenienced. So there's a big market for better tech, and a lot of govt money going into inventing it.
I think you are spot on. Maybe add quantum computing, warfare tech refresh
AI, robotics, renewable energy
Very interesting thread. I will add with a bit of justification and profitability. - Clean energy: Trillions of $/year will be spent here since climate change is recognized as a concern by governments. Mostly in new infrastructure or high Capex things like fusion/nuclear. It will likely be large corporations, with less chance of startups. - Biotech + life-sciences: Aging population creates demand and radical new breakthroughs like crispr and mRNA will result in opportunities. However regulatory hurdles and Capex make it unattractive for startups. -Robotics: Birth rate reduced since 2008 crisis. Boomers will be gone in 2030s. Supply chains are moving away from China, etc. We will need major increases in automation. Great opportunities for startups. No breakthrough technology though yet. -AR/VR: Yeah Happy to hear if this is missing anything.
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The next biggest thing is you posting your TC