HousingJan 28, 2023
Metafjdhr

Why does Redfin retrogress old data points?

Bought house in 2017 at a fair market value, with the recent drop after 2021 peak Redfin has reduced the actual price during 2017 by 150k. Is this even possible? Overall my current value is still higher than what I bought for in 2017 but I don't trust Redfin logic. Tc 450k

Microsoft 人權民運自由獨 Jan 28, 2023

Ignore all app valuations for housing. Housing historically averages inflation + 2% per year. To find fair market value for your house, simply find inflation for 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022. Add 2% to each inflation number. Call this X for each year. Multiply your purchase price by 1.0X (or 1.X if it's 2 digits) for 2018, multiply that result by 1.0X/1.X for 2019, so on until you finish each year. That is what your house is actually worth. It does not matter if one fool or one million fools will pay more than it is worth - that does not actually change the value.

LinkedIn patientswe Jan 28, 2023

Wtf this is so wrong. In any tech city in the last 50 years values were growing way faster than inflatipn +2%. Local economic factors have a massive impact, as well as how wlee your house is built.

Microsoft 人權民運自由獨 Jan 28, 2023

Just because people pay that does not mean it is worth that.

Meta t89hh Jan 28, 2023

There was a post about this the other day. When prices go down, Redfin offsets the history so the curve always goes up. Zillow does not do that

Google freebe Jan 28, 2023

Dropped the 2022 estimate by 600k on mine. Lol

Amazon nJeX27 Jan 28, 2023

They retrogress to smooth the curve and hide the rise and fall… they wanna paint a picture that real estate is always a rising asset which increases transactions since it’s in their interest… and at anytime they wanna hype up the values which keeps both sellers and buyers motivated… a stagnancy from either side hurts them bad… they are like stock brokers… You win or lose it doesn’t matter as long as there are lots of transactions, they win

Dell chattGPT Jan 28, 2023

Redfin has super buggy system.. same issue I called and informed.. but they said will fix.. if you change your house profile it will update from recent sales .. I informed this bug .. but no fix yet

Intuit tOHi33 Jan 29, 2023

Dont trust redfin or zillow for price histories

Microsoft vankai Jan 29, 2023

What do you trust then? @tOHi33

Intuit tOHi33 Jan 29, 2023

The only prices you can trust are the sold prices

Meta trivial Jan 30, 2023

I used to work there. It's just easier to program that way. Maintaining a time series for every home is harder than just creating some fake curve and calling it a day. The thing is just a marketing gimmick anyway.