Before the election started I was pretty confident of 400 par, but increasingly worrying trend is coming up. What is the likely result? TC 500k Yoe 15
Really like 600 par 🤣😂
Above 300 but far below 400
1200 pesos
6 phase election and 400 rhetoric is hurting BJP. They shouldn't have started all this 400 campaign. This United opposition hard and in ground level many afraid BJP will go uncontrolled with overwhelming majority. Modi should have attacked opposition with quick poll and simple campaign. They would have easily touched 400. The longer the poll phases , it's hard for BJP to fight the anti-incumbency, complacency
United opposition? AAP and INC are fighting like dogs in Punjab. Same with TMC in WB, CPM in Kerala. Opposition candidates are not even campaigning in many states: GJ, HR, RJ, UP, CG, NE, DL. Their booths are not able to get volunteers either.
Telangana, Andhra Kerala , Punjab - though opposition is not United , BJP is not in the competition. All the seats won going to be opposition. Rajasthan, UP & WB- it's hard for BJP to repeat the 2019 number because of United opposition or no vote splits against BJP. Tamilnadu - 0 for BJP Karnataka - same story, difficult to get 2019 numbers. Congress is gaining Overall I feel BJP is struggling as election progress. It's.no where as strong as it's projected in media
250
Even RaGa was worried that BJP may not be able to cross 400, so he has decided to give more public appearances and push BJP to 400. Since we have 5 more weeks, we can expect him to deliver.
Do Math. There are 130 seats in South. I expect BJP to win 20 seats max in the south. Which means 110 seats gone. Total is 538, which means BJP has to win 400/428 in rest of the country. Which isn’t possible given that BJP is going to lose some seats in Maharashtra (total 48 seats, I expect them to win 30 max). They won’t win all seats in Delhi, West Bengal, Bihar, Orissa and North east. So 400 looks unlikely.
400 is the target for NDA, not BJP though. BJP can expect 330-350 BJP will easily get at least 20 from KA itself, which gave 25 seats in 2019. Telangana is also 5-8 seats. MH has no opposition options. INC is not getting votes there.
As much as I support BJP, Google's analysis looks correct.
Big mistake was arresting Kejriwal. BJP lost its credibility
NDA ~340 plus minus 20
400 was always stretching it thin. NDA will definitely get the majority but may not be as high as 400.